Upper Arlington News

District expects steady enrollment over 10 years


Student enrollment in Upper Arlington schools is expected to be "generally steady" over the next 10 years, although the greatest change is projected at the high school level.

Kathy Jenney, executive director of human resources and administrative services, reported current enrollment numbers to the Upper Arlington Board of Education Dec. 9.

She said current high school enrollment is 1,748, but projections indicate that number could increase to 1,971 students during the 2017-18 school year.

The 10-year projections indicate that the number of high school students could decline slightly by the 2023-24 school year, to 1,958 students.

Jenney presented enrollment numbers that studied data from 1971 to 2013 and included 10-year projections by grade level through the 2023-24 school year.

"Upper Arlington is a district that has not had the kind of decreases in enrollment that other districts have had," she said.

Although enrollment has been fairly steady in the past 10 or 20 years, the total number of students in all grades in 1971 in Upper Arlington was 9,045 students. That number went down steadily by 200 to 400 students each year until 1981 when enrollment began to stabilize and was listed at 5,880.

The lowest total enrollment listed since 1971 was 4,839 students in 1989, according to Jenney.

Current K-12 enrollment is 5,786 students; that number is expected to increase slightly to 6,021 students in 2023-24, according to the data.

"The total student enrollment is expected to experience growth during the 2017-18 school year to a total of 5,984 students and then will remain relatively stable," Jenney said.

Elementary enrollment is currently at 2,596 students. That number also is expected to stay relatively stable, with only small increases and is projected to be 2,651 students by 2023-24.

Jenney said middle school enrollment is expected to decrease from this year's 1,442 students to an average enrollment of 1,412 students for the next 10 years, with year-to-year small fluctuations.