Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 6 odds, picks and best bets

Johnny Parlay
Sportsbook Wire

The Atlanta Braves will try once again to finish off the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL Championship Series, this time in Game 6 on Saturday at 4:38 p.m. ET (on FS1). As the top seed in the 2-3-2 format, the Dodgers are the home team at the neutral site of Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Below, we analyze the Braves-Dodgers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Best-of-seven series: Braves lead 3-2. The Dodgers staved off elimination with a 7-3 victory Friday. C Will Smith had the big hit, a three-run, two-out HR in the top of the sixth inning for a 4-2 lead, a lead L.A. wouldn't relinquish.

Braves vs. Dodgers vs. Braves: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Fried went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA (56 IP, 14 ER) in 11 regular-season starts. This postseason, he's 0-0 with a 2.65 ERA (17 IP, 5 ER) in 3 starts with the Braves winning all 3 games. He also has 18 strikeouts and just two walks.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in Game 1 of NLCS on Monday - Braves won 5-1
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER) in 3 regular-season starts; 0-0, 2.16 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 5 playoff games, including 1 start
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 10 ER) in 3 starts and 8 relief appearances

Buehler was 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER) in 8 starts this season. He's 0-0 with a 2.77 ERA (13 IP, 4 ER) in 3 playoff starts with the Dodgers going 2-1. He has struck out 23 batters, but he has walked 11. Those 11 walks matched what he gave up during the season in 36 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in Dodgers' Game 1 loss on Monday
  • Career vs. Braves: 2-0, 2.92 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 4 ER) in 2 regular-season starts; 0-0, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER) in 2 postseason starts.
  • Career postseason: 1-1, 2.74 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 15 ER) in 9 starts

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Braves vs. Dodgers: Key injuries

Dodgers

  • 2B-OF Chris Taylor (ankle) questionable

Braves vs. Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:17 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Braves 2

Money line (ML)

The DODGERS (- 139) are the play. RF Mookie Betts and SS Corey Seager (2 HRs Friday) give L.A. the edge. Betts, the best player on either team, just makes things happen, while Seager is having a historic series. His 4 homers and 10 RBIs already tied NLCS records.

New to sports betting? Every winning $1.39 bet on the Dodgers ML profits $1. Every $1 bet on the Braves ML (+125) profits $1.25 if they prevail.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Braves +1.5 (-167) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)

The Dodgers are tempting, but I'll PASS. There hasn't been a one-run game in this NLCS yet. It's sort of due.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 ( -110) is the STRONGEST PLAY - 1½ your usual wager. With this being a rematch of the pitchers' duel from Game 1 - Fried vs. Buehler - expect a similar result.

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Johnny's 2020 MLB record

75-56-1

2020 MLB postseason / Strongest plays

11-19 / 4-8

2020 overall record (all sports)

117-90-3

Strongest plays (all sports)

58-35-1

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