NFL Prop Bet Payday: The Week 6 Falling Leaves Edition

John Holler
Sportsbook Wire

Week 6 is upon us and, as things currently stand, it's all good with the games that are supposed to be played. Last week, we were introduced to Tuesday Night Football for the second time in 70 years. This week, we're going to see Monday Afternoon Football. Welcome to 2020.

It's been a bumpy ride and it looks like it will continue, but we're seeing a lot of stand-alone games, which is fine by me. Here are five NFL prop bets to make in Week 6 we feel good about bringing you to the pay window.

NFL Week 6 prop bet payday

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Riding the Jefferson Airplane

Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson has emerged as a strong replacement for Stefon Diggs. His strong suit is his route running and getting downfield. Minnesota is likely to get into a passing shootout with the Atlanta Falcons because of their mutually anemic defenses, making Jefferson's Over/Under for receiving yards - 66.5 yards - too low for what he is capable of doing. Take the OVER 66.5 (-115).

The Andrews Mister

Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews has emerged as the No. 2 receiving threat in the offense, which, if it had its preference, would run the ball every play. The Ravens can both run and throw the ball with relative impunity against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6.

The Eagles have struggled to contain tight ends and Andrews can exploit that weakness. His Over/Under for receiving yards is 51.5. He will probably need five or six catches to hit that number, but he will get the targets to make it happen. Take the OVER 51.5 (-115).

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The Story of Man Named Brady

Every time Tom Brady plays another Hall of Fame quarterback, the betting odds seem to turn the clock back six or seven years to when they were still building their resumes. He's going up against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in Week 6 and his Over/Under for passing yards is 298.5. That's a big number for anyone and it's a huge number for a guy who has to complete 30 or more passes to surpass that number. He may get close but take the UNDER 298.5 (-115).

Malcolm in the Middle

Darrell Henderson is the primary running back for the Los Angeles Rams and rookie Cam Akers is back in the mix, but Malcolm Brown has carved out a spot for himself in the offense that will get him seven or eight carries a game. His Over/Under is just 26.5 rushing yards. That is a small number for a guy who consistently gets to run the ball eight times a game (he's done that in four of five games). If he pops one run, he hits that number. Take the OVER 26.5 (-115).

Hey, Dude! Let's Parlay

I'm not a fan of parlay bets because you need too many things to happen to win, but, I saw one this week that looks distinctly possible. In the Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers game, the top four wide receivers - Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Chase Claypool - all need to have 50 or more receiving yards. If they do, the bet comes in at +500. That's a big return number for something that appears very possible to happen. I will break tradition and play this parlay.

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