Clark's 'Caps: Bank on these NBA player prop predictions, 5/3/21
The NBA's Monday slate is stacked with games that are impactful to each conferences' playoff situation. Below, we'll highlight Monday's top NBA player prop predictions.
An 11th-place New Orleans Pelicans hosts one of the teams they are chasing for a play-in spot when they play the 9-seed Golden State Warriors.
We're also treated to a point guard dual with Damian Lillard's Portland Trail Blazers visit Trae Young's Atlanta Hawks.
Finally, another Western Conference showdown goes off when the Denver Nuggets visit the fledgling Los Angeles Lakers who've slid to the 7-seed in the West (seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-in tournament).
Monday's NBA player prop bet predictions
Utah Jazz SF Bojan Bogdanović UNDER 20.5 points (-115)
The Jazz host the San Antonio Spurs and their injuries at guard should lead to San Antonio's above-average defense focusing more of its attention on SF Bojan Bogdanović.
The Spurs have gone a great job defending opposing small forwards, allowing the sixth-fewest points per game to opposing SFs on the fifth-lowest field goal percentage.
Also, Bogdanović has played against San Antonio wing DeMar DeRozan 20 times, and Bogdanović is averaging just 12.7 points per game in those games.
Furthermore, if Bogdanović's jump shot isn't going down he probably won't be able to make up for it at the foul line since Bogdanović averages just 3.5 free-throw attempts per game.
Finally, Bogdanović is averaging just 12.3 points per game in 13 games against San Antonio, and his 98 offensive rating against the Spurs is his third-lowest vs. any team in the Association.
BET B. Bogdanović UNDER 20.5 points (-115) for 1 unit.
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Atlanta Hawks SG Bogdan Bogdanović OVER 17.5 points (-105)
Bogdanović and the Hawks host an awful defense in the Portland Trail Blazers Monday that struggles particularly in defending backcourts.
Portland's defense is 22nd in points per game allowed to opposing shooting guards on the second-worst field goal shooting and 22nd-worst 3-point percentage vs. opposing SGs.
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Also, before Bogdanović missing Atlanta's back-to-back last week against the Philadelphia 76ers with a hamstring injury he was playing really good ball.
In April, Bogdanović averaged 21.9 points per game on 63.3% true shooting (.490/.485/.850) with a 121 offensive rating and went Over 17.5 points in 11 of his 15 games last month.
Finally, Bogdanović has scored 18 or more points in four of his past five meetings with Trail Blazers SG C.J. McCollum.
BET B. Bogdanović OVER 17.5 points (-105) for 1 unit.
Denver Nuggets F Michael Porter Jr. OVER 22.5 points (-115)
Earlier today, it was announced LeBron James would be sidelined with injury for the Nuggets-Lakers game, which puts backup wing Kyle Kuzma in the starting 5, and MPJ should light Kuzma up Monday night.
Out of all the positional matchups between both teams' projected starting lineups, none are as lopsided as the one pitting MPJ against Kuzma.
MPJ has scored 23 or more points in five consecutive games, and since the All-Star-break, MPJ is averaging 22.8 points per game on 68.2% true shooting (.569/.466/.795) with a 130 offensive rating.
BET 1 unit on M. Porter Jr. OVER 22.5 points (-115).
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